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PROJEKTIN JULKAISUJA
Skenaarioiden yhdistäminen
Muita
julkaisuja
Tieteellisesti arvioidut julkaisut
Carter, T. R. 2004: FINSKEN: Global change scenarios for Finland in the 21st century. Boreal Env. Res. 9: 89.
[ladattavissa]
Carter, T. R., Fronzek, S. and Bärlund, I. 2004: FINSKEN: a framework for developing consistent global change scenarios for Finland in the 21st century. Boreal Env. Res. 9: 91–107.
[ladattavissa]
Carter, T.R. 2001. Uncertainties in
assessing the impacts of regional climate change. In: Brunet India, M.
and Bonillo, D.L. (Eds.). Detecting and Modelling Regional Climate Change,
Springer-Verlag, Berlin, pp. 441-469. [kirjan
yhteenveto]
Carter, T.R., Hulme, M., Crossley,
J.F., Malyshev, S., New, M.G., Schlesinger, M.E. and Tuomenvirta, H. 2000.
Climate Change in the 21st Century – Interim Characterizations based on
the New IPCC Emissions Scenarios. The Finnish Environment 433, Finnish
Environment Institute, Helsinki, 148 pp. [ladattavissa]
Carter, T.R., La Rovere, E.L., Jones,
R.N., Leemans, R., Mearns, L.O., Nakicenovic, N., Pittock, A.B., Semenov,
S.M. and Skea, J. 2001. Developing and applying scenarios. In: McCarthy,
J.J., Canziani, O.F., Leary, N.A., Dokken, D.J. and White, K.S. (Eds.).
Climate
Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working
Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York,
pp. 145-190. [WG II yhteenveto päätöksentekijöille]
Hulme, M. and Carter, T.R. 2000.
The changing climate of Europe. In: M. Parry (Ed.). Assessment of Potential
Effects and Adaptations for Climate Change in Europe: The Europe ACACIA
Project. Jackson Environment Institute, University of East Anglia,
Norwich, UK, pp. 47-84. [yhteenveto]
Linkosalo, T., Carter, T.R., Häkkinen,
R. and Hari, P. 2000. Predicting spring phenology and frost damage risk
of Betula spp. under climatic warming: a comparison of two models. Tree
Physiology 20:1175–1182. [abstrakti]
Mearns, L.O., Hulme, M., Carter,
T.R., Leemans, R., Lal, M. and Whetton, P. 2001. Climate scenario development.
In: Houghton, J.T., Ding, Y., Griggs, D.J., Noguer, M., van der Linden,
P.J., Dai, X., Maskell, K. and Johnson, C.A. (Eds.). Climate Change
2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third
Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge
University Press, Cambridge and New York, pp. 739-768.
[WG
I yhteenveto päätöksentekijöille]
Muita julkaisuja
Bärlund, I. and Carter, T.R. 2001.
A survey of the potential user-requirements for global change scenarios
in Finland. Summary report. [ladattavissa]
Carter, T.R. (Ed.). 2000. FINSKEN:
Developing consistent global change scenarios for Finland. Finnish
Environment Institute, 4 pp.
[ suomeksi, pdf, 264KB tai
englanniksi, pdf, 266KB]
IPCC-TGCIA 1999. Guidelines on
the Use of Scenario Data for Climate Impact and Adaptation Assessment.
Version 1. Prepared by Carter, T.R., Hulme, M. and Lal, M. Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change, Task Group on Scenarios for Climate Impact Assessment,
69 pp. [ladattavissa]
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Sosio-ekonomiset
skenaariot
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Kaivo-oja, J., Luukkanen, J. and Wilenius, M. 2004: Defining alternative national-scale socio-economic and technological futures up to 2100: SRES scenarios for the case of Finland. Boreal Env. Res. 9: 109–125.
[ladattavissa]
Heinonen, S., Jokinen, P. and Kaivo-oja, J. 2001. The ecological transparency
of the information society. Futures 33: 319-337.
Hoffrén, J., Luukkanen, J. and
Kaivo-oja, J. 2001. Decomposition analyses of Finnish material flows: 1960-1996.
Journal
of Industrial Ecology 4: 105-126. [abstrakti]
Kaivo-oja, J. 1999. Alternative scenarios
of social development: Is analytical sustainability policy analysis possible?
How? Sustainable Development 7: 140-150.
Kaivo-oja, J. 2001. Scenario learning and potential sustainable development
processes in spatial contexts: towards risk society or ecological modernization
scenarios? Futures Research Quarterly 17: 33-55.
Kaivo-oja, J. 2001. Comment on Ash Amin's interview: economic and human
geography in the making: notes on a dialogue between Ash Amin and Paul Krugman.
Economia Global e Gestáo. Global Economics and Management
Review 1: 159-165.
Kaivo-oja, J. 2002. Social and ecological destruction in the first class: A
plausible social development scenario. Sustainable Development 10: 63-66.
Kaivo-oja, J., Luukkanen, J. and
Malaska, P. 2001. Advanced sustainability analysis. In: Tolba, M.K. (ed.)
Our
Fragile World. Challenges and Opportunities for Sustainable Development.
Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems and Sustainable Development. Vol 2.
Oxford, EOLSS Publishers Co. Ltd.
Kaivo-oja, J., Luukkanen, J. and
Malaska, P. 2001. Sustainability evaluation frameworks and alternative
analytical scenarios of national economies. Population and Environment.
A Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies 23: 193-215.
Luukkanen, J. and Kaivo-oja, J. 2002. ASEAN tigers and sustainability of energy use:
Decomposition analysis of energy and CO2 efficiency dynamics.
Energy Policy 30: 281-292.
Luukkanen, J. and Kaivo-oja, J. 2002. A comparison of Nordic energy and CO2 intensity dynamics
in the years 1960-1997. Energy - The International Journal 27: 135-150.
Seppälä, T., Haukioja,
T. and Kaivo-oja, J. 2001. The EKC hypothesis does not hold for direct
material flows. An environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis tests for direct
material flows in 5 industrial countries. Population and Environment.
A Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies 23: 217-238.
Tirkkonen, J., Kaivo-oja, J. and Wilenius, M. 2001. Ilmastoneuvotteluiden tuskainen taival kohti
Kioton pöytäkirjan toimeenpanoa. Ulkopolitiikka 38: 116-129.
Vehmas, J., Luukkanen, J. and Kaivo-oja,
J. 1999. Kansainvälisen ilmastopolitiikan muotoutuminen ja Suomi.
Ulkopolitiikka
36: 5-21.
Muita julkaisuja
Kaivo-oja, J. 2000. Integroitu sosio-ekonomisten
ja ekologisten vaikutusten arviointi alue- ja yhteiskuntasuunnittelun haasteena.
In: Kurki, S., Linnamaa, R. and Sotarauta, M. (eds.) 14 Näkökulmaa
Alueelliseen Kehittämiseen. Seinäjoen I aluekehittämissminaarin
julkaisu. Tampereen yliopisto. Alueellisen kehittämisen tutkimusyksikkö.
SENTE-julkaisuja 5/2000, Tampereen yliopistopaino, Tampere, pp. 116-139.
Kaivo-oja, J. 2000. Thinking of our
moral responsibility to future generations. Economic perspectives to equity
problems in climate change policy. In: Haukkala, V. (ed.) Every Human
has an Equal Right…? Equity Problems and Climate Policy and Politics.
University of Tampere, Department of Regional Studies and Environmental
Policy. Environmental Policy Publications 1. Tampere, pp. 35-71.
Kaivo-oja, J. 2001. Challenges of visionary
management in multilevel planning environment: How Murphy´s laws
may emerge in global sustainability policy? In: Stevenson, T., Barbieri
Masini, E., Rubin, A. and Lehmann-Chadha, M. (eds.) The Quest for the
Futures: A Methodology Seminar in Futures Studies. Selection from the
Methodology
Seminar in Futures Studies, Turku, Finland, June 12-.15, 2000. Finland
Futures Research Centre. World Futures Studies Federation. Painosalama
Oy, Turku, pp. 71-93.
Kaivo-oja, J. and Suvinen, N. 2001. Sosiaali- ja terveysalan tulevaisuuden
näkymät vuoteen 2030. In: Voutilainen, P., Saranto, K., Peiponen,
A., and Mikkola T. (Eds.). Hoitotyön vuosikirja 2002.
Hoitotyön tulevaisuus. Hygieia. Kustannusosakeyhtiö Tammi,
Helsinki, pp. 9-45.
Katko, T., Seppälä, O. and Kaivo-oja, J. (Eds.). 2001. Management
of Water, Wastewater and Solid Waste Services in Comparative Historical
and Futures Perspective. Proceedings of a Nordic Research Workshop Supported
by NorFa: TUT, IEEB: 10-12 June, 2001, 173 pp.
Luukkanen, J. and Kaivo-oja, J. 2000.
HILMA-long run accounting model for socio-economic scenarios. Version 3.
CD-ROM.
Luukkanen, J. and Kaivo-oja, J. 2001. Energy and CO2 efficiency in developing countries.
Comparison of key developing countries and ASEAN countries from the point of view of climate
policy. In: Lacuna-Richman, C. and Kaisti, H. (Eds). Tropical forests. Facing new modes of
governance in the global era. Research Notes 135, Faculty of Forestry, University of Joensuu, pp.
13-51.
Luukkanen, J., Kaivo-oja, J. and Vehmas, J. 2000. Rakennemuutos Suomessa vuosina 1975-1996.
Dekompositiomalliin perustuvia tuloksia sähkön, työpanoksen ja pääoman
käytön muutoksista eri tuotantosektoreilla. Kansantaloudellinen aikakauskirja. Vsk. 96. No. 1, pp. 19-38.
Luukkanen, J., Kaivo-oja, J., Vehmas,
J. and Tirkkonen, J. 2000. Climate Change Policy Options for the European
Union: Analyse of Emission Trends and CO2 Efficiency. TUTU-publications
1/2000. Finland Futures Research Centre, Turku School of Economics and
Business Administration, Turku, 49 pp. [ladattavissa]
Malaska, P., Kaivo-oja, J. and Luukkanen,
J. 1999. Sustainability and Economic Growth: A Theoretical Framework and
Empirical Demonstrations. Futu-publication 4/99. Finland Futures
Research Centre, Turku School of Economics and Business Administration.
Malaska, P., Luukkanen, J. and Kaivo-oja,
J. 2000. A new sustainability evaluation framework and alternative analytical
scenarios of national economies. Transitions Towards a Sustainable Europe
Ecology - Economy - Policy. 3rd Biennial Conference of the European
Society for Ecological Economics. Vienna, 3. - 6. May 2000. Session Ib3.
Theme: Ecological Economics Modeling and Material and Energy Flows. 19
p.
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Postereita
Tieteellisesti arvioidut julkaisut
Laurila, T., Tuovinen, J.-P., Tarvainen, V. and Simpson, D. 2004: Trends and scenarios of ground-level ozone concentrations in Finland. Boreal Env. Res. 9: 167–184.
[ladattavissa]
Emberson, L.D., Ashmore, M.R., Simpson,
D., Tuovinen, J.-P. and Cambridge, H.M. 2001. Modelling and mapping ozone
deposition in Europe. Water, Air and Soil Pollution 130: 577–582.
Simpson, D., Emberson, L., Tuovinen,
J.-P. and Ashmore, M. 2000. Ozone deposition and stomatal flux modelling.
In: Transboundary Photo-oxidants in Europe, EMEP Summary Report
2000, EMEP/MSC-W Report 2/2000, Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo,
pp. 5–9.
[
pdf, 372KB]
Simpson, D., Tuovinen, J.-P., Emberson,
L. and Ashmore, M. 2001. Characteristics of an ozone deposition module.
Water,
Air and Soil Pollution: Focus 1 263–274.
Sofiev, M. and Tuovinen, J.-P. 2001.
Factors determining the robustness of AOT40 and other ozone exposure indices.
Atmospheric
Environment 35: 3521–3528.
Tuovinen, J.-P., Simpson, D., Mikkelsen,
T. N., Emberson, L. D., Ashmore, M. R. Aurela, M., Cambridge, H. M., Hovmand,
M. F., Jensen, N. O., Laurila, T., Pilegaard, K. and Ro-Poulsen, H. 2001.
Comparisons of measured and modelled ozone deposition to forests in Northern
Europe. Water, Air and Soil Pollution Focus 1 263–274.
Muita julkaisuja
Emberson, L.D., Simpson, D., Tuovinen,
J.-P., Ashmore, M.R. and Cambridge, H.M. 2000. Towards a model of ozone
deposition and stomatal uptake over Europe. EMEP/MSC-W Note 6/2000.
Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, 58 pp.
[
pdf, 1.7MB]
Laurila, T., Tuovinen, J.-P. and Lindfors,
V. 2001. Frequency distributions of ozone concentration and the uncertainty
in the AOT40 index. In: Midgley, P. M., Reuther, M. and Williams, M. (Eds.).
Transport
and Chemical Transformation in the Troposphere: Proceedings of the
EUROTRAC-2 Symposium 2000, Springer-Verlag, Berlin, Germany, CD-ROM, pp.
1300–1304.
Tuovinen, J.-P., Emberson, L. D.,
Simpson, D., Ashmore, M. R., Aurela, M. and Cambridge, H. M. 2001. A new
dry deposition module for ozone: comparisons with measurements. In: Midgley,
P. M., Reuther, M. and Williams, M. (Eds.). Transport and Chemical Transformation
in the Troposphere: Proceedings of the EUROTRAC-2 Symposium 2000, Springer-Verlag,
Berlin, Germany, CD-ROM, pp. 445–449.
Tuovinen, J.-P., Simpson, D., Mayerhofer,
P., Lindfors, V. and Laurila, T. 2002. Surface ozone exposures in Northern
Europe in changing environmental conditions. In: A Changing Atmosphere:
Proceedings of the 8th European Symposium on the Physico-Chemical Behaviour
of Atmospheric Pollutants, 6 pp. (painossa).
Postereita
Emberson, L. D., Ashmore, M. R., Simpson, D., Tuovinen, J.-P. and Cambridge, H. M. 2000.
Modelling and mapping of stomatal uptake of ozone by European vegetation as a component of
ozone dry deposition. In: Abstracts of the Sixth International Conference on Air-Surface Exchange
of Gases and Particles, Edinburgh, Scotland, 3–7 July 2000, CEH Edinburgh, UK, p. 84.
Laurila, T., Tuovinen, J.-P., Lindfors, V. and Simpson, D. 2001. Surface ozone concentrations and
exposures in Finland in the 21st century based on the SRES emission scenarios. In: Ennola E.
(Ed.). FIGARE Annual meeting 2001: Integrated Global Change Research, Poster abstracts, 17–18
September, Hämeenlinna, Finland, p. 14.
Työn
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julkaisuja
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tutkinnot
Tieteellisesti arvioidut julkaisut
Syri, S., Fronzek, S., Karvosenoja, N. and Forsius, M. 2004: Sulphur and nitrogen oxides emissions in Europe and deposition in Finland during the 21st century. Boreal Env. Res. 9: 185–198.
[ladattavissa]
Syri, S., Amann, M., Capros, P.,
Mantzos, L., Cofala, J. and Klimont, Z. 2001. Low-CO2
energy pathways and regional air pollution in Europe. Energy Policy
29: 871–884. [ladattavissa]
Syri S. and Karvosenoja N. 2001. Low-CO2 energy pathways versus emission
control policies in acidification reduction. Water, Air and Soil
Pollution 130: 1831–1836.
Syri S., Karvosenoja N., Lehtilä A., Laurila T., Lindfors V. and
Tuovinen J.-P. 2002. Modeling the impacts of the Finnish climate
strategy on air pollution. Atmospheric Environment 36(19): 3059–3069.
Muita julkaisuja
Hildén, M., Attila, M., Hiltunen,
M., Karvosenoja, N. and Syri, S. 2001. Kansallisen ilmastostrategian ympäristövaikutusten
arviointi. The Finnish Environment 482, Finnish Environment Institute,
Helsinki, 105 pp. [ladattavissa]
Karvosenoja, N. and Johansson, M. 2001.
Primary particulate emissions in the Finnish climate strategy. Proc.
of 12th World Clean Air & Environment Congress, Seoul, South Korea,
27th-31st August, 2001. 6 pp.
Syri, S., Karvosenoja, N., Lehtilä,
A., Laurila, T., Lindfors, V. and Tuovinen, J.-P. 2001. Modeling the impacts
of the Finnish climate strategy on air pollution. Proc. of 12th World
Clean Air & Environment Congress, Seoul, South Korea, 27th-31st
August, 2001. 6 pp.
Akateemiset
tutkinnot
Syri, S. 2001. Air pollutants and energy
pathways: Extending models for abatement strategies. Monographs of the
Boreal Environment Research 19, 43 pp. (väitöskirja) [ladattavissa]
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Ilmastoskenaariot
Muita
julkaisuja
Postereita
Akateemiset
tutkinnot
Tieteellisesti arvioidut julkaisut
Jylhä, K., Tuomenvirta, H. and Ruosteenoja, K. 2004: Climate change projections for Finland during the 21st century. Boreal Env. Res. 9: 127–152.
[ladattavissa]
Alexandersson, H., Tuomenvirta, H.,
Schmith, T. and Iden, 2000. Trends of storms in NW Europe derived from
an updated pressure data set. Climate Research 14: 71-73. [abstrakti]
Carter, T.R., Hulme, M., Crossley,
J.F., Malyshev, S., New, M.G., Schlesinger, M.E., and Tuomenvirta, H. 2000.
Climate Change in the 21st Century: Interim Characterizations based on
the New IPCC Emissions Scenarios. The Finnish Environment 433, Finnish
Environment Institute, Helsinki. 150 pp. [abstrakti]
Haapala, J., Juottonen, A., Marnela,
M., Leppäranta, M. and Tuomenvirta, H. 2001. Modelling the variability
of sea-ice conditions in the Baltic Sea under different climate conditions.
Annals of Glaciology, 33. (painossa)
Tuomenvirta, H. 2001. Homogeneity adjustments of temperature and precipitation
series – Finnish and Nordic data. Int. J. Climatol. 21: 495–506.
[abstrakti]
Tuomenvirta, H., 2002. Homogeneity testing and adjustment of climatic time
series in Finland. Geophysica. (accepted)
Tuomenvirta, H., Alexandersson, H.,
Drebs, A., Frich, P., and Nordli, P.O. 2000. Trends in Nordic and Arctic
temperature extremes and ranges. J. Climate 13: 977-990. [abstrakti]
Tuomenvirta, H., Venäläinen,
A. and Haapala, J. 2001. The impact of climate change on transport conditions
in Finland. In: Brunet India, M. and Bonillo, D.L. (Eds.). Detecting
and Modelling Regional Climate Change, Springer-Verlag, Berlin, pp.
593-604. [kirjan
yhteenveto]
Venäläinen, A., Tuomenvirta,
H., Lahtinen, R., and Heikinheimo, M. 2001. The influence of climate warming
on soil frost on snow-free surfaces in Finland. Climatic Change
50: 111-128. [abstrakti]
Venäläinen, A., Tuomenvirta,
H., Heikinheimo, M., Kellomäki, S., Peltola, H., Strandman, H. and
Väisänen, H. 2001. The impact of climate change on soil frost
under snow cover in a forested landscape. Climate Research 17: 63-72.
[abstrakti]
Muita julkaisuja
Tuomenvirta, H. 2000. FINSKEN climate
- AOGCM simulations of temperature and precipitation change in Finland.
Proceedings of the 22nd Nordic Meteorologists' Meeting, 6 pp.
Tuomenvirta, H., Venäläinen,
A., Juottonen, A., and Haapala, J. 2000. The impact of climate change on
the Baltic Sea ice and soil frost beneath snow-free surfaces in Finland.
Ministry
of Transport and Communications Finland Publications 13/2000, 56 pp.
[abstrakti]
Tuomenvirta, H., Uusitalo, K., Vehviläinen,
B. and Carter, T.R. 2000. Ilmastonmuutos, mitoitussadanta ja patoturvallisuus:
Arvio sadannan ja sen ääriarvojen sekä lämpötilan
muutoksista Suomessa vuoteen 2100. Finnish Meteorological Institute
Reports 4/2000, 65 pp.
Postereita
Jylhä, K. 2001. Changes in the
frequency of airflow types over Finland - a preliminary study. Climate
Change Symposium "Climate Change and Variability in Northern Europe",
Turku, Finland, June 6-8th 2001.
[
pdf, 206KB]
Tuomenvirta, H., Uusitalo, K., Vehviläinen,
B., Carter, T.R. and Jylhä, K. 2000. Estimate of changes in precipitation,
its extremes and temperature in Finland up to 2100. The Climate Impacts
LINK Project 4th Workshop "Current Climate Change Science and Impacts Studies"13-15th
September 2000.
[
pdf, 192KB]
Tuomenvirta, H. 2001. Climate variations
in Finland during the 20th century. Climate Change Symposium "Climate
Change and Variability in Northern Europe", Turku, Finland, June 6-8th
2001.
[
pdf, 360KB]
Wajda, A., Venäläinen,
A., Tuomenvirta, H. and Jylhä, K. 2001. The influence of climate change
on heating demand in three European countries. Climate Change Symposium
"Climate Change and Variability in Northern Europe", Turku, Finland,
June 6-8th 2001.
[
pdf, 1.9MB]
Akateemiset
tutkinnot
Jylhä, K. 2000. The scavenging
of air pollutants by precipitation,
and its estimation with the aid
weather radar. Department of
Meteorology, University of Helsinki,
Report 50, 58 p.+appendix (väitöskirja) [ladattavissa]
Tuomenvirta, H. 2000. Homogeneity
testing and analysis of climatological time series from Finland and the
Nordic region. Department of Meteorology, University of Helsinki, 59 pp.
+ 31 pp. appendix (lisensiaattityö)
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Tieteellisesti arvioidut julkaisut
Johansson, M. M., Kahma, K. K., Boman, H. and Launiainen, J. 2004: Scenarios for sea level on the Finnish coast. Boreal Env. Res. 9: 153–166.
[ladattavissa]
Kahma, K.K., Boman, H., Johansson, M.M. and Launiainen, J., 2003. The North
Atlantic Oscillation and sea level variations in the Baltic Sea. ICES
Marine Science Symposia, 219: 365-366.
Johansson, M.M., Kahma, K.K. and Boman, H., 2003. An Improved Estimate for
the Long-Term Mean Sea Level on the Finnish Coast. Geophysica 39(1-2):
51-73.
Johansson, M., Boman, H., Kahma, K.K.
and Launiainen, J. 2001. Trends in sea level variability in the Baltic
Sea. Boreal Environment Research 6: 159-179.
[
pdf, 282KB]
Postereita
Johansson, M., Boman, H., Kahma, K. and Launiainen, J. 2000. Trends in sea
level variations in the Baltic Sea (poster abstract). Man and the Baltic Sea.
Third Environment Symposium of the Maj and Tor Nessling Foundation. 2-3
October 2000, Helsinki, Finland.
Kahma, K. K., Boman, H., Johansson, M. and Launiainen, J., 2001. North
Atlantic Oscillation and sea level variations in the Baltic Sea. ICES
Symposium, Hydrobiological Variability in the ICES Area, 1990-1999. 8-10
August 2001, Edinburgh, Scotland.
Kahma, K., Johansson, M. and Boman, H., 2001. Relative land uplift in the
Baltic Sea and the North Atlantic Oscillation. Paper presented in: IAG
International symposium on Recent Crustal Movements SRCM’01. 27-31 August
2001, Helsinki, Finland.
Launiainen, J., Seinä, A., Johansson,
M., Lahtinen, M., Alenius, P. and Bareiss, J. 2001. Northern Atlantic forcing
reflections to sea ice and hydrological conditions in the northern seas.
Third
Study Conference on BALTEX. 2-6 July 2001, Mariehamn, Finland. [ladattavissa, englanniksi]
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